79% chance at a bid.
Still feels really shaky. We need another big win, but we get two cracks at both Cincinnati and SMU so there’s plenty of chances.
So losing @ Memphis is now worse than losing @ Tulane and losing to UConn is even worse? My how things have changed so quickly.
I like that the Coogs are already being talked about for the Tourney. They will need to have some key wins and avoid the head-scratching losses but at least it appears the need for lobbying their case is minimal at this point. This is great progress!
I’ve not been following Arkansas very closely, but their results over the last 6 games looks shaky, especially that loss to Miss St. We need to win out, but we also need our resume to help us out.
Miss St is a tough one to figure out (12-1 at home and 1-5 away/neutral) but a 3-pt road loss for Arkansas at Miss St is not that bad. I am more concerned about their home loss to LSU than the road loss to Miss St. Arkansas had a nice road win at Georgia recently though and get a shot at Oklahoma State next. OSU is 0-4 in true road games and Arkansas is 10-1 at home. Since UH played 2 SEC teams and 0 Big XII teams, I assume I should root for the SEC to win their cross-conference games this weekend (among other reasons)?
Team Rankings bracketology ranks 111 out of 113 tracked by the Bracketmatrix.
The consensus Bracketmatrix is much more accurate.
We are currently last 4 in.
probably the next 5 games will determine that.
usf, cinci, ucf, smu and Tulane.
go 2 and 3; they’re probably out, 3-2 still on the bubble and anything better than 3 and 2; they’re in barring a collapse at then end of the season.