I know there really isn’t a point because it is such a long shot, but I was trying to break down what needs to happen for us to go. There isn’t a path anymore with a 3 or 4 way tie where we get the spot mainly because of the two losses in the West (unless I missed something or tiebreaking changed from 2015). The only way is for Navy to lose 3 of their remaining 4 conference games. USF is a possibility and Tulsa could shock them, other than that @ECU and home against @SMU are the other games. Then of course we have to run the table along with Tulsa and SMU dropping one more conference game. According to Massey, there is about a 5% chance all that happens. They still have us as huge favorites over UCF and Tulane, 50% against Memphis. They see Navy as underdogs at USF and surprisingly only small favorites over SMU. With that said, if Navy doesn’t lose to USF it’s all over and the percentage drops to less than 1. (roll in the “so you’re saying there’s a chance” meme)
I’m just hoping our team gets back on track and smacks the heck out of UCF tomorrow. If we do, we might be back in the top 25. If we get back on track and the conference isn’t winnable, every player and coach will have their sights on Louisville.