Fair thee well College Football Playoff! We never really knew you. Hello, Cotton Bowl… maybe?!?
The path to the Cotton Bowl is more convoluted than the path to the AAC Championship. Let’s look at the rules and then what needs to happen.
First and foremost, to be the auto-G5 bid you have to have won your conference championship. Then you have to be the highest ranked G5 conference champion in the CFP. If there is no ranked G5 champion, then the CFP Committee will decide the champion that will be in the NY6 bowl, this year the Cotton. Two G5s could technically be selected. One representing the G5 auto bid and another that gets an at-large bid that would have gone to a P5 candidate. The likelihood of that happening is about as slim as us getting into the CFP. The committee would have to consider two G5s “worthy” enough of that honor… Uhh, unlikely!
So, here is what has to happen:
- See the thread “Lets break down the path to the AAC Championship.” Without the AAC championship, we are not eligible unless we receive an at-large bid.
- We have to beat Louisville and win out.
3a) We have to hope that the CFP believes a one-loss Houston’s schedule was tougher, and therefore, more deserving than Boise St. I actually believe this is very likely, especially if Louisville and Oklahoma keep winning.
3b) …or we need Boise St to lose.
- We get an at-large birth to play Boise St in the Cotton. This, in my opinion, has less than a 1% chance of happening, so refer to my above comments.