4x400 team wins their heat in 3.03.32 and advances to Austin. Impressive showing as Montgomery didn’t even run.
The big disappointment is not being able to defend the 4x100 title on the men’s side. Everything else on the men’s side went about as expected with Jefferson being the one worry coming in, but he came up big. Women’s side saw Seymour surprise in the 100m and the 4x100 have a solid showing.
Coogs lost their margin of error heading into nationals and will need some big performances in Austin to have a chance at the national title. This team has come up big before so hopefully, they come in ready to go.
Still sick from the drop in the 4x100. Just went back and watched the replay, feel bad for Burke. He was devastated after dropping it.
One silver lining, I guess, is that Burke should be a lot fresher to be able to do the 100m/200m double. While he should finish high in the 100m, he isn’t projected to move beyond the SF in the 200m. Hopefully, with fresher legs, he can finish top 2 in the 100m and maybe even sneak in to the finals of the 200m.
Same goes for Collins as he won’t have to run the anchor on the 4x100 and can focus on just the 100m. Maybe he can pull off an upset and get to the final.
Crazy that one of the biggest stories of the year in T&F was that LSU-Houston interaction at the Texas Relays and now, neither team will face each other in a relay (LSU runner pulled up injured in the 4x400).
T&F is a heartless sport. You need some luck sometimes and sometimes there just isn’t any to find.
Patrick, really appreciate your updates and perspective as we follow our Cougars
My only question to you… do we still have a chance with our 10 individual qualifiers plus the 4x4 relay? Is that enough… Can we contend without the 4x1 relay?
I just hope we beat Florida and this year.
So kind of comparing last this to this year.
2018 100m - 1st, 2nd, 8th (Burke)
2019 - Burke in the finals, maybe Collins sneaking in
2018 200m - no points
2019 - Burke and Montgomery with a shot at the finals
2018 400m - 7th (Montgomery)
2019 - Montgomery favorite to finish on podium, Obi expecting to make the finals
2018 110m hurdles - no points
2019 - Lattin expected in finals, top 3 hopefully
2018 400m hurdles - no points
2019 - Good chance for Lattin, also a shot for Jordan to make finals
2018 4x100 - 1st
2019 - big hit to points not making it
2018 4x400 - 5th
2019 - favorites to win
2018 Long Jump - no points
2019 - Jefferson has a shot at points
2018 total points - 35 (19 from 100m, 10 from 4x100, 4 from 4x400, 2 from 400m)
2019 - I would say high 30s to low 40s, chance to win the team title would take 4x400 title, 400m 1-2 finish, 100m and 110m hurdles podium, points from 200m, LJ, 400m hurdles
Also for those curious, usually the team title is somewhere in the 50s (ignoring Oregon’s dominating 2014 and 2015 seasons), Georgia had 52 last year. Average in the last 10 years is 54.56 not counting Oregon’s wins, 60.95 if you include their 85 and 88 point wins.
I don’t know. We’ll need some huge performances and a little luck to win after losing the 4x100 team. Here’s my best case scenario (points may shift around in the end)
100m: 6 points
200m: 8 points
400m: 15 points
110mH: 6 points
400mH: 5 points
LJ: 5 points
4x400: 10 points
That gets us to 55 points…might be enough to win. Tech and Florida are going to be tough to beat though.
My senior year in HS at our conference meet the best 4x400 team dropped the stick, not on the exchange, but on the back stretch on the last leg with about a 20m lead. My school won that race as a result. Yes, heartless it is.
I came up with 62. I’m optimistic that Lattin can take the 400H and that Obi can push Montgomery in the 400 and run a 44 low. It should be a good meet and here’s hoping there are no more disasters.
Any idea on who ran the 4x400 and their splits?
The other evaluation is to look at TT and Florida qualifiers and put their numbers/runners and their times against ours
Lattin, Holt, Valentine (46.41) and Igbokwe (45.03).
1st 2 laps were 1:31:88, but they didn’t post individual splits for Lattin and Holt. Does mean that they averaged just under 46 on the 1st 2 laps.
Texas Tech qualified for 15 individual events plus both relays 4x1 and 4x4
Florida qualified for 14 individual events plus both relays 4x1 and 4x4
Houston qualified for 10 individual events but only made its 4x4 relay
By qualifying times/distances, we are projected to get 33 team points. I think we will out perform that as Kahmari (2nd time) and Obi (7th) I believe will be higher, 4x400 is 3rd (without best team) and I have us winning, Lattin will finish 3rd in 110H instead of 6th, and maybe we get 200m points.
Need LJ Jefferson to place high and score for Coogs…
I agree that we should see our best times in the sprints and 4x400. But, other teams expect their best times at nationals too. It will be close and fun to watch.