HOUSTON 42 East Carolina 17. It’s been feast or famine for the Pirates as they have two wins and covers on the season including their last game against BYU while all 6 losses have been both SU and ATS with a 20 points loss their closest and that came against James Madison. The Cougars knocked off a ranked team for the third straight season as they went into USF and scored a game winning TD with 11 seconds left. Tough to side with a Pirates squad that has failed to win the yardage battle in any game but they are off a bye. Houston is playing a 9th straight week and their defense over the last 4 has allowed 481 YPG and 33 PPG while going 2-6 as a home favorite the last 2 seasons. Pass.
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With a bye coming off a win over BYU and our record as a home favorite, we don't appear ripe for beating the spread.