The top 10 coaches most likely to win their first national championship in 2016
5. Tom Herman: Oddly, Herman has the most and least control over his season as anyone on this list. Beat Oklahoma in Houston to open the season and it will take a major upset to keep the Cougars from going undefeated. Alas, there are scores of mid-majors that have gone unbeaten in recent years, and none has seriously threatened to bust through the glass ceiling. But, with how Houston finished last season, a schedule that includes Louisville and an on-the-rise AAC in addition to the Oklahoma game and expected chaos in two of the Power 5 conferences… if ever there was a year for a Group of 5 team to crash the CFP’s Party of 5, this is it.