All things considered this is not a terrible draw for UH. San Diego State is a hot team, but not necessarily a great team. They beat Gonzaga early in the season and beat Nevada twice down the stretch. Ken Pom has them as his 50th ranked team in the country. They will try to use their length to get 2nd chance opportunities on offense and disrupt passing lanes on defense. I think they will have a difficult time scoring on UH in the half court.
My 2 biggest concerns:
#1 Our halfcourt offense has not been good the last 2 weeks. The length of teams is giving our undersized team issues and teams have been overplaying Armoni Brooks forcing him to drive which has stifled his game. Either Brooks or Davis has to be a consistent 3rd scorer if UH wants to go as far as it wants.
#2 Can UH either control the glass or force some turnovers to get some easy 3’s and layups in transition?
538 gives UH a 71% chance to beat SD State and a 33% chance to beat Michigan. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-march-madness-predictions/?addata=espn:ncb:index I’ll take those odds. I really think if UH plays its “A” game, there isn’t a team in this region that they can’t beat. They have seniors and they have an elite coach. In the words of Michael Jordan “The Ceiling is The Floor”.