Where the Coogs stand as of 12 Feb

Sampson isn’t the kind of guy that tolerates that kind of thing. I’m pretty sure he will have them well grounded.

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Sampson was screaming down Armoni when they were up by roughly thirty. He’s not going to let them get complacent.

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really would rather have the 11 seed vs miami in dallas and then tech …that would be a great seeding imo.

The Cougars host fifth-ranked Cincinnati on Thursday with a chance to not only pad their NCAA resume but possibly lock in an at-large bid with a victory. The NCAA tournament committee unveiled its top 16 seeds Sunday, rewarding the American Athletic Conference leader the final No. 2 seed, which means an upset likely would position the Cougars comfortably down the stretch.

On Sunday, the Cougars face a tough road test against Temple.

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https://twitter.com/SHPawdcast/status/963090384426536960
https://twitter.com/SHPawdcast/status/963095878402756608

https://twitter.com/UHCougarMBK/status/963172037727580160

https://twitter.com/MericanMania/status/963219758358450176

https://twitter.com/Joseph_Duarte/status/963105633057861632

In[quote=“pray10, post:27, topic:11081”]
Thursday:
Cincinnati @ Houston
Temple @ Wichita St

Sunday:
Wichita St @ Cincinnati
Houston @ Temple
[/quote]

In a perfect world, we beat Cincy; Temple beats Wichita St…and then Cincy beats Wichita St, we beat Temple.

Is there a big difference between a #2 and #3 seed in the AAC? Looks like UH and WSU will be in the same half of the bracket.

Now, what if, UH beats Cincy and goes 6-0 to close the regular season while WSU sweeps Cincy. UH would be no worse than tied for first. I am not sure what the tie-breakers are and I don’t like the chances of WSU sweeping Cincy but, if we are dreaming of perfect scenarios…

Yeah, I wasn’t even taking AAC tourney into consideration. I am resolved that we are either a 2 seed or a 3 seed, and it really shouldn’t matter…if it does end up mattering, we have other things to worry about.

I was thinking more on the NCAA seeding and national perception of who our current opponents are.

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Seriously. If St. John’s ends up getting a 16 seed (I have no idea where they are in any bracket right now), I may have to pick a 16 seed upset for the first time ever.

If they get in, it will not be as a 16th seed

RPIForecast now has us most likely finishing 4-2 (before the SMU loss the higher percentage was on a 3 loss finish):

6-0 ; 6.06%
5-1 ; 24.33%
4-2 ; 37.98%
3-3 ; 24.74%
2-4 ; 6.37%
1-5 ; 0.50%
0-6 ; 0.01%

It has us predicted to lose against Cincy and at SMU. Has us favored by 2.3 at Temple…has us favored by 22.8 against ECU.

More from RPIForecast…

Percentage chance of winning:

Cincy - 33%
@ Temple - 58%
@Memphis - 76%
ECU - 98%
@SMU - 43%
UConn - 89%

(Granted, this is all mathematical/stat based. It does not take into account injurded players/probable line-up.)

Providence just beat Villanova. Solidifies that win as a quad 1.

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…and then SMU loses to Memphis.

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Win or lose Thursday against the Bearcats, Houston needs to win as many games remaining on its schedule as possible (regular season and conference tournament) and avoid bad losses. Houston needs to avoid bad losses because of its non-conference schedule – the proverbial anchor around its neck.

Houston’s non-conference schedule ranks 273 out of 351 schools with a team RPI of 69.