A New Disturbance in the Force

“Stability” is the gold standard in almost everything. That is why the Fed is going all in to fight
inflation. I’ve gotten burned by the “unrealized gains” of property taxes for last 2 years, so in my best “me first feelings”, I’m okay with it. 10% for 2 years straight with several more years of hitting the 10% cap built in is not fun. Makes inflation seem tame. Recessions come and go.But Inflation will not be tolerated. Let’s hope the fed has the right medicine for the disease.

Majority of us dont sell a home every year. I think it ranges from 4-6 million units a year. So for the
vast majority, no need to panic or be overly worried about the monthly value of our home. My bold
“prediction” is property values will continue to decline, interest rates will continue to rise, new construction will fall, unemployment will appear, yada yada yada. Then one spring morning , the birds will start chirping, the days will grow slightly longer and a warm breeze will gently flow across the land ( thank you EB White). And the Fed will lower rates. Rinse and repeat. Just don’t get caught inside the dryer. Long term, don’t bet against real estate being depressed.

After all of the stuff he pulled during the sub-prime crisis, Dimon is not to be trusted.

He may be right, but he’s a snake.

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I think the majority of people referenced in this thread are betting on a market collapse and are trying to sell that to the world.

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A banker is someone who loans you an umbrella when the sun is shining but demands its return when it begins to rain

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Sure , and the sources used to support those desires are probably betting on it too. There is good opportunity to make money in a recession, if you are in the monied class. Eventually
a recession will happen. They are just a part of the way economics work. If you keep crying the mother of all recessions is coming, it may be, after all we’ve gone thru since 2008 and 2020.

Then there is the political side of it too. There is a desire to pin the tail on the donkey or elephant.
Nevermind trying to understand the longer term roots of the recession phenomenon. Of which the
seeds were probably planted years ago.

Humans are funny. No wonder 51’s aliens just like sit back and enjoy the show.

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If you remember, I opened this thread on Chinese financial troubles, they haven’t gone away.

As for home prices, Houston looks okay

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Current administration

Yes. Most folks fight their property tax valuation and so usually the sell price is higher than the property tax.

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https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1579882662822809600?t=41MqfSkRXhxGXjoWg87mfA&s=19

https://twitter.com/grassosteve/status/1579841826147618819?t=QvJ1Cdxl7LdT0D4JkTb9iw&s=19

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https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1580174385507291137

https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1580178943415529472

Ooof

https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1580173250084339712

https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1580191749040877568

Sometimes these TV financial guys aren’t exactly trustworthy…

https://twitter.com/EricKleefeld/status/1580238761358946305?s=20&t=a11LpDBwwf70yNEpr1m9EA

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Just saw the latest HEB ad. Yellow onions on sale at $.98/#. They used to be $.33/#

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https://twitter.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1580438184776945665?t=ZkjW-3CKmNiNOFMu4WKP5Q&s=19

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Yep keep posting doom and gloom, it’s good for my portfolio, snapping up some real great stocks​:smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley::smiley:

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You be snapping up some I bonds based on today’s inflation number.

Too early in the cycle to buy equities other than oil stocks

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The Fed is fighting the wrong war with the wrong armaments.

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I Bonds 9.62% new adjustment 11/1

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I just want my transocean stock to finally rocket….

Hmmm…good luck with that.