AI is the next big thing

Depends on how far you move the goal posts to prove AI is bad. Like you always do.

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Huh?

I don’t think AI is bad!
Could be disruptive. But not bad.

There is just so much AI hype out there now, you have to weed out what’s real. My point is it’s still kind primitive. When it can start proving mathematical conjectures, we will know it has arrived. Right now, the public models couldn’t beat the high school students
that took home bronze, silver, and gold prizes.

AI uses pre-existing knowledge to solve complex problems requiring massive amounts of data, time and calculations. I doubt it can do much of anything requiring creativity. It’s basically a program that writes a program.

About 35 years ago, while working at Chevron, I wrote SQL-from-SQL Database Queries that created code to create objects likes indexes, tables, views, foreign keys, etc. My coworkers thought it was pretty cool and wanted me to give presentations of it. And I digress.

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AI just “won” a math competition.

NRG: Well it didn’t solve the unsolvable math equations even humans can’t. So it’s not all that.

AI taxis are working in Austin.

NRG: Yea well it went over the speed limit by 3 mph and didn’t recognize a train!

Norb, didn’t you read the entire article you posted ? The public AI models
failed to score the points necessary to win a medal.

Here is more of your article to backup the claim.

A noteworthy fact about these companies’ claims to the top spot: Neither model that achieved gold (or, you know, a self-administered gold) is publicly available. In fact, public models did a pretty terrible job at the task. Researchers ran the questions through Gemini 2.5 Pro, Grok-4, and OpenAI o4, and none of them were able to score higher than 13 points, which is short of the 19 needed to take home a bronze medal.

Now let’s be honest, back in 1997 IBM’s Deep Blue defeated a world master
chess champion. It was the first time ever, but that was 28 years ago and a very
specialized AI. Impressive, but limited.

Yes, that’s a good summary of the current status of AI. There
are some emerging signs of creativity but still very primitive to deal
with real world generic scenarios that pop up. That’s the holy grail of AI.

FYI, if you read the included links, you would have read that one of the 7
“unsolvable” math conjectures was “solved” in 2002/2003 - the Poincaré Conjecture by Grigoriy Perelman.

6 more out there for specialized AI to work on. I’d bet AI teams across the globe
are trying to attack them, and I wish them success.

NRG: Yea well it went over the speed limit by 3 mph and didn’t recognize a train!

In Austin it has failed to adhere to posted speed limits, got confused on left turn,
swerved into other lanes, let passengers out after stopping in an intersection,
and let passengers out in the left lane of a 6 lane road.

  • Robotaxi goes 26 MPH in a 15 MPH zone

Also investigations for it driving 35 in 30mph zone and failing to lower speed
by 20mph when passing emergency vehicles parked in adjacent lanes.

The train incident required the on board monitor to takeover and stop the car.

Summary - read more than just the headlines.

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This is a really good, albeit really long, read.

The upshot of it is that regardless of whether or not AI is a good product, every company in the field is vomiting money at unprecedented and unsustainable levels.

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I didn’t read the links because you didn’t post their political ratings. Come on, you gotta be consistent.

Hate for Elon = The forest for the trees.

I don’t care too much if a publication leans left or right a little bit, but
of course a neutral bias rating should be goal everyone agrees is best.
And bias is just articles they choose to publish and the use of emotionally loaded
words.

It’s factual accuracy thats key for me. And sites that promote conspiracy stuff.
As saying in my profession goes, garbage in - garbage out (GIGO). But please point out any publications I reference that blatantly violate those rules.
I try to avoid those sources, but if I fail, a fact checker summary would be most welcome and a “thank you”.

Musk is a fun guy to follow. Brilliant in some areas but incredibly blind and tragically flawed in others. Perfect analogy of him not seeing the forest for the trees. He couldn’t foresee or comprehend how he hurt his own star company. And his blind cult followers and defenders are a hoot too.

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Biased and believable is different than biased and gaslighting.

AI doesn’t buy things in the economy so if it goes to far and unemployment is too high , the gov has to pay them to sit at home.

The economy runs on people with money whether it’s thru the gov or private sector.Then taxes go higher then it’s not a gain for businesses nor us in general.

It buys electricity, housing ( they their homes data centers) , cooling, and it buys
more chips and better chip designs.

But I get drift of your question. It could displace lots of workers. It’s still too
early to know how big and impactful it will be. It will have pretty significant impact
but my gut feeling it is still a few years out before it hits. We seem to be in the
speculative stage still and lots of hype out there. We don’t even have laws yet
on how this version of AI can be regulated.

That’s why I posted the video from 1977, to show how computers did the same thing back in the day. People still found new ways to make money, although a lot of people just stayed on the government dime. But you guys had tunnel vision against Elon, so you aren’t able to see the whole picture.

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Amazing what AI can do.

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https://www.wsj.com/lifestyle/careers/ai-entry-level-jobs-graduates-b224d624?st=Y7Pwnt&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

Interesting report.

So what’s “actually” happening per the article is all these trust fund ivy league art and history majors are no longer capable of performing in these Wall Street Analyst roles

so what’s the solution → we start hiring actual students from state colleges that major in actual technical degrees specifically designed to do these Analyst jobs (but what’s going to happen to the dear ol’ prep kids??? oh nooooooo)

Actually basically all those entry level office jobs could’ve be done by HS grads anyways we’ve just continually devalued degrees of all varieties to where a HS degree is meaningless, a bachelor’s is now a HS degree, and a master’s is a bachelor’s for a lot of companies. It’s like inflation but for education.

They could be done by HS grads

but if that was the actual case, those jobs would go to the most privleged HS school kids and not those underserved or even just the middle class

Truthfully, most entry level jobs outside of STEM could be done by HS grads. Even some STEM jobs could be done by HS grads with proper on the job training

The problem is that Academia still wants to remain powerful and valuable, and they have the means to do that despite the fact that we are realizing education at the collegiate level is slowly losing its real value

It’s just a checkbox. A screening.