RPI - 48th (down 2)
Massey Composite - 43rd
http://www.masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
No votes in the AP Poll:
Cincinnati - #25
UCF - 2 votes
No votes in the Coaches Poll
Cincinnati - #23
Arkansas - 7 votes
https://twitter.com/TheHRReview/status/808851909100662784
Cincy pounded Texas Southern. Cincy is looking real good so far and is a deserved favorite going into conference season.
https://twitter.com/JonRothstein/status/808887189534871552
Memphis has been playing well this season, but ran into the Monmouth buzzsaw.
FWIW, ESPN’s Jay Bilas rated UH at #54 in his top 68 this week.
Yeah. Cincinnati is tough! UH needs to beat Harvard. Would be a nice win.
T-Rank is a like a free version of Pomeroy.
Slightly different. Pomeroy tends to discount early season blowouts more. But virtually the same type of analysis.
He’s got UH 43 and in a virtual tie with SMU for 2nd in the American.
He projects UH to finish 12-6 in conference, tied with SMU for 2nd.
Finally, he runs a continually updated “Ranketology” where he tries to predict what the committee will do based on criteria extrapolated by analyzing past committee selections. We are currently the second team out on the bubble.
1 Like
Hmmm…10 seed vs Ohio State, Notre Dame, Miami, or Arizona in the 1st round. I’ll take that.
Then again, I’ll take anything that has us in the tourney this year.
Back up to 39 in RPI tonight. I think LSU getting another win against a top 100 team helped. That currently has us projected as second in the conference with a 14-4 record. Undefeated in conference at home and only losing to UConn, UCF, SMU and Cincy on the road.
The thing of course is that with all computer rankings, it doesn’t take into account teams that are playing better or worse in January than November from injuries and benchings so you always have to take them with a grain of salt.
Unless UCF or SMU makes a big run in conference play we are probably a 3 bid conference this year. We really need to finish in the top 2 in case someone makes a surprising run in the conference tournament and takes one of those 3 bids.
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Houston.html
Even with this forecast giving us one more conference loss it puts us at around a 32 rpi. Six more losses this season has us around 40. So that means we can still have a slip up and still get a bid. We haven’t been in this position since Foster I believe. Of course a 40 RPI means that we would need to make the semi-finals of the conference tourney as well because the committee will put 50th ranked teams that had a good finish over 40th ranked teams that exited their tourney in the first round. Which I don’t have a problem with.
1 Like
Great analysis.
2005-2006 under Penders was probably our last best shot at being selected for the NCAA tournament as an at-large. We had an RPI of 54 and were ranked 25th at one point in the season after beating LSU and Arizona in back to back games. What killed us was the start of conference when we lost 3 out of 4 games to Rice, UCF, and UAB. Beat Rice and UCF and the Coogs probably make the tourney that year.
1 Like
Looks like we’re bouncing around #40. Not bad. We’re improving gradually but can we stay in the Top 40 when conference begins?
Call me crazy but I would rather win the NIT than be one and done in the NCAA. Lot more status and recognition. And something to recruit on.
Normally I’d agree but next year, having no home court, we will be lucky if the team finishes .500 for the season. We need an NCAA appearance because next year will be a lame duck season.
IIRC, that Penders team also immediately went on the road and lost to two teams that were not very strong. UH stopped scheduling tough OOC opponents after that and gravitated to the home-heavy, cream puff OOC approach that Gillespie was feasting off of while at A&M. That is my recollection…
Yep; last good year of OOC games.