In the metrics the committee uses, UH now sits #16 RPI, #17 Ken Pom, and #17 BPI. Those numbers are not going down. The committee does say that a team can be moved up or down a seed for bracketing purposes, but given that the AAC only has 3 teams in the field, that should not be needed.
When comparing resumes for seeds, the committee does look at head to head. UH has the head to head on Wichita State. UH is also ahead of them now in Ken Pom and ever so slightly in RPI. Running the typically accurate RPI Wizard, a loss to Cinci leaves UH at a #16 RPI. A win over Cinci takes UH to #10.
I think UH is a 5 seed with a chance to move as a high as a 4 or 3. That being said, that game yesterday had to be mentally and physically taxing for the team. UH is arguably playing the toughest back to back games of anyone in a conference tourney with the exception of Providence who had to play Xavier and Villanova back to back. It’s a huge ask to get this win today. I’m proud of this team either way and I think under the NCAA format with days off inbetween games, UH is going to do some damage.
FYI looking at Lunardi’s last bracket for Sunday morning, he has UH as a 6 in Dallas vs Loyola of Chicago. That is a very tough draw. They are currently RPI #22. I would not have Ohio State ahead of UH and I certainly would not have Wichita State as a #4 seed if UH is a #6. Screw this…let’s beat Cinci.