It's like going to Vegas and doing a 10 team parlay. You can pick all favorites and still have a very small chance of winning. Chance is that one or more of your favorites in your parlay lose. All it takes is one loss to wreck it. Same thing here, but with two losses. We have a 50/50 better shot at each individual game, but that's not the same as going 10-0 the rest of the way.