ROLLERBALL has arrived in the NCAA BB Tournament.
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I didnât think about postponing but I guess they could do that, though the draft, etc. would complicate things.
Please keep insults of fellow posters off this board. Happens again = ban.
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Whoa 
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Safe is always better than sorry. Think risk management
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Good to see all the amateur health experts logging on.
I can tell you with 100% certainty that you can be a 30 something in good health and be put in very critical condition by this virus. Iâve seen it myself and itâs scary.
Itâs all about probabilities. It affects elderly and other high risk people worse on average than middle agers, but anyone can fall to this new virus.
While itâs certainly easier to understand this virus by equating it to the flu virus, it isnât the flu virus. Itâs significantly more virulent and apparently about ten times as lethal, judging by the South Korea data, which seems pretty good. There is no treatment except supportive therapy.
Are you in a lot of personal danger from this virus? No. Chances are if you get it it will suck like you have the flu with the added symptom of feeling like you arenât getting enough air. But you will get over it.
Could this virus pull your card, no matter who you are? Yes.
Some people have more risk aversion than others, itâs true, but try not to apply your personal risk aversion to an entire population. There are no perfectly right answers with how to handle these community gatherings.
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This and another concern is that since itâs not contained, a large number getting really sick really quickly can swamp the healthcare capacity and treatment resources.
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In addition there are public health issues that we are already dealing with in the US that werenât much of a factor in China and South Korea such as obesity. We just donât know at this point how itâs going to impact certain members of our population.
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For sure. This has made things really bad in Italy. Their healthcare system is totally overwhelmed right now.
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The two big problems with this one are long incubation and total lack of immunity. The former means that locking China down would have been meaningless, since the spread started way before symptoms did. Weâre moving from noticing obvious cases to finding less obvious cases, meaning the spread already started weeks ago. Any steps to reduce further spread are useful, but we arenât preventing very much. The latter has to do with the purpose of vaccinations. Itâs great that you might individually be immune to a disease, but getting enough people vaccinated creates herd immunity, cutting diseases off from potential vectors and slowing spread. Some will get sick, but not so many that it would overwhelm the medical system. Without a vaccine to create herd immunity, we have to interrupt vectors via physical separation, but the idea is to produce the same effect.
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Itâs all about âflattening the curveâ by slowing the rate of infection so that healthcare capacity is not overburdened.
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