People see it as being a debbie downer but I prefer a dose of reality. We have a chance to make the tourney. It shouldn’t be expected though. Also those that say we have too much talent, probably couldn’t name any players on 10 other teams off the top of their head little alone know enough about the talent of the other top 100 programs to know where we stack up.
Of course we have a few players that have the ability to play at a tournament team level. So do a lot of other teams that won’t be making the tourney. We don’t have tournament depth though. We will not only have to take care of business by not losing to any of the bottom half AAC teams at home or on the road but we will need to hold “home court” against at least 3 out of 4 of Temple, Wichita, Cincy and SMU to have a shot at an at large bid. Frankly I’d be happy if we win 2 of those and beat 1 of them on the road.
I wonder how many on here have even noticed that we have to play Witchita State, Cincy, Temple, SMU all home and home this year and UCF on the road only. RPIForecast says if we finish about 12-6 in our conference, we will have around a 41 RPI. That would have us on the bubble with a good showing in the conference tournament to get in.