As of Week 13: Houston's remaining path to the Championship Game

Football
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  1. Houston must win out
  2. Texas Tech must win out
  3. Cincinnati must beat BYU (Week 13)
  4. TCU must beat Cincinnati (Week 14)
  5. Utah must lose to Kansas State (Week 13) OR lose to Kansas (Week 14)

Honorable Mention: it would help Houston’s resume if Arizona beats Arizona State (at Arizona State) in Week 14

5 Likes
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How would the tiebreaker work with BYU?

Pretty sure we need them to lose twice but I may be wrong.

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BYU:

  • if Utah loses 1 more game, then BYU’s SOS would significantly weaken and thus Arizona (or Arizona State) would replace Utah.
  • Houston beat both Arizona and Arizona State.
  • Arizona State beat Texas Tech, and BYU doesn’t play Arizona State
  • If unranked Cincy beats BYU and TCU beats Cincy, then BYU likely gets knocked out of the Top 3.
  • It’s hard to wrap your head around it because 2-loss Utah is still ranked very high. 1 loss and they’re done for.
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BYU has tie breaker over us currently because of record against common opponents (WVU loss). Need them to lose to UCF and for Utah to drop a game.

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Currently - yes this is true.

But…

If they lose to Cincinnati (and Cincinnati loses to TCU) + Utah loses 1 more game, then I believe we would hold the tiebreaker

BYU’s win over Utah adds significant weight to BYU’s current standings.

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We don’t play Cincy so that result doesn’t really affect us. UCF has to beat them or their win over WVU would be the tiebreaker. Same is true for Utah currently who we’re tied with.

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So I’m assuming we would play Tech again in this scenario? Coogfans going to be a very nasty place if we lose to Tech twice in one season. Not that it would happen.

1 Like
10

All this tells me is that we really need to go back to divisions.

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Go have fun. cfb.app/big12/2025

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Have fun. cfb.app/big12/2025