Was considering your awesome post for guys on their last Big 12 go-round. I made a joke that this means Momcilovic is coming back, but after digging into it, I actually do think he’s coming back. Let’s consider what that means.
Milan Momcilovic has to be the odds-on favorite for Big 12 POY next year (as of right now). @pesik
Mock drafts have him going somewhere in the 48 to 53 range, and the rookie scale for the 48th pick would have him making 1.27 million annually. With the new salary cap allotted $$ being a big boost for Iowa State, I expect Momcilovic will get the Joshua Jefferson treatment this offseason.
https://basketball.realgm.com/nba/info/rookie_scale
Jefferson is currently our highest paid player, deservedly so. Keeping him around was critical to taking what was likely to be a tournament team (to your point, pesik) but around 6th to 9th in the Big 12 depending on a few factors, and elevating them to being better than last year. Something nobody really saw coming, myself included, if I’m being totally honest.
Jefferson is making somewhere between 1.5-1.75 million this year. That was a huge commitment for ISU. Momcilovic will be offered AT LEAST that, likely more now that ISU will be on more stable and sustainable financial ground under the new rules.
Knowing Momcilovic especially, like Jefferson (and really all of our main guys under TJ), it doesn’t really matter what offers come in from other schools. Listen to his on-court postgame interview vs Colorado where he talks about why he came to ISU, if you don’t believe me. Other offers won’t be seriously considered.
There will be some negotiating and matching market forces of course, but it doesn’t need to be dollar for dollar. There’s a ton of precedent in our program for that, no reason to think Momcilovic is any different, quite the opposite. He might be the most TJ-loyal guy there is, which is saying a lot.
No need to be cynical about that, it’s a benefit of building the way that we do, as opposed to some other roster-building strategies at similar schools (looking at you, KState lol)
I also think that means we can expect ISU to retain every rotation guy besides Jeff, Lipsey, and Heise (Nelson doesn’t really play, but he’s also gone). That means Momcilovic, Toure, Buchanan, Batemon, Pleta return that experienced culture-infused developmental core that is Otzelbeger’s signature. You add two talented freshmen in Gray and Wiggins, and two ready-out-the-box foreign Bigs in Jackson Kiss and Ronaldo Dorian-Komlan. You also have a promising wing sitting-out w/ injury in Mason Williams that everyone forgets about.
The portal work will be pretty light and ISU can afford to be really choosey and big-picture-saavy once again. They will bring someone in tho, they always do. I don’t see any reason we should expect ISU not to be in a similar preseason position that they were this year @pesik . In the top 15-25 range, with the same pricless DNA (similarly to our friends in H-Town), and with a couple breaks they can possibly be right back where they are this year right now.
TJ Otzelberger truly is one of the best in the business, and I won’t tolerate any slander lol. Hopefully we don’t sleep on them again this offseason…myself included.
This thing will PROBABLY just keep rolling, probably a perennial contenter (at least fringe/darkhorse) if you look at it big picture. ISU has earned that, but it all really takes a huge leap in likelihood with Mr. Momcilovic coming back!