SFA 88.1% won
Rice 70.9% won
Colorado 47.2%
Oregon State 66%
Texas Tech 30.1%
Oklahoma state 39.1%
Arizona 44.3%
ASU 17.9%
WVU 51.4%
UCF 29.6%
TCU 22.9%
Baylor 25.9%
The percentages on their little thing says we only win 4 games. Will be interesting to see the shifts tomorrow when they update.
I don’t like it…
A lot of these look off to me
Don’t know if you guys saw it, but I did… The first ESPN projections had Rice going to a bowl game, but not the Coogs… Not sure how they expected that to happen unless Rice would beat us. Not sure where they see 6 wins for Rice coming from… At any rate, I thought that was interesting and very clearly off base. I expect the Coogs to go bowling.
That said, one game at a time… We’re making progress each week. Haven’t seen that around here in a while…
Go Coogs
Numbers dont add up. NO WAY Okie State is better than Colorado…That already shows they dont know what they are talking about.
88.1% chance of beating SFA seems pretty egregiously low. I’d have ballparked that at about 95%, which is about what we would have expected given the spread would have translated to. About 84% for Rice. Both of those seem more intuitive to me. That said, given these odds, we should expect to be a 5 or 6 win team, which seems about right.
TCU is a loss. They are too strong up front. And a good qb as well.
They update this every Sunday morning after all the games are done. Our percentages moved a lot today. Favored in 5 games going forward after yesterday’s results.
Colorado 47.2%-57.7%
Oregon State 66%-75%
Texas Tech 30.1%-33.4%
Oklahoma state 39.1%-72.3%
Arizona 44.3%-51.2%
ASU 17.9%-29.1%
WVU 51.4%-68.%
UCF 29.6%-35.9%
TCU 22.9%-31.7%
Baylor 25.9%-30.9%
One’s a home game, the others on the road.
The offensive line did not look good against Rice. If we don’t improve the Oline, it could be a long season. The positive is that Fritz didn’t run it up the middle on 1st and 2nd down each series. We were so predictable against SFA. After seeing our Oline in the SFA game, he probably realized it’s not advisable.
Isnt ucf supposed to be terrible? I dont know that, just keep seeing people say it.
My 8 win prediction doesn’t seem so crazy now.
I’ve always had 8 wins as our floor…that’s a good but not a great season.
Renember, we scheduled ZERO P4 opponents in OOC and are playing in the Big 12 and NOT the SEC or B1G Ten.
There are some really bad Big 12 schools this season
Shouldn’t be hard to find 5 wins after the 3 freebies we were given in our OOC schedule.
…and YES our point total is 62-9 in the first two freebies!
If these percentages are correct we would expect to end up with 6 or 7 wins.
You know our best oline sat the Rice game out.
That’s how I predicted we would finish. Works for me.
Any improvement over last year is a blessing.
Which OL where out? Are they expected back for Colorado?
OG Jason Brooks
Tackle David Ndukwe
Both might be back
RB Burnette will miss CU
We’ll need a update but Fritz didn’t report any new unjuries and said McCutchin was fine
Given how weak the conference looks 8 wins seems much more doable. Colorado game will tell us all we need to know.
As for the scheduling, it’s unfortunate but once upon a time we did have two P5 opps scheduled. One got demoted and the other became a conference mate. Is what it is. Hopefully we beat Colorado and roll Oregon St. That’ll set up a big one against Tech.
Chances have improved in each game but ESPN computers still say 7 wins.
Oregon State 66%-75%-80.4%
Texas Tech 30.1%-33.4%-33.6%
Oklahoma state 39.1%-72.3%-76.8%
Arizona 44.3%-51.2%-51.7%
ASU 17.9%-29.1%-30.7%
WVU 51.4%-68.%-69.3%
UCF 29.6%-35.9%-41%
TCU 22.9%-31.7%-39.3%
Baylor 25.9%-30.9%-37.6%
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