I mean… LSU, Ole Miss, Miss St… even Bama may not be able to keep up as I said in another thread. Schools like Michigan, Horn, and Buckeye will thrive in this NIL era.
I dont see how we don’t. Being located in the 4th (eventually will probably be 3rd), largest city in the country and having a massive alumni should help us tremendously.
On the other Coogfans board they discussed that part of the ncaa settlement was to create rules around NIL. One stated rule was to have all nil deals approved and only ok the ones where the player’s task is of fair market value equal to what’s reasonable. If the amount is excessive then it’s ruled void bc it is pay for play. A car dealership can’t just offer 5 mil for the player to do 1 local tv ad and sign autographs. This would be pay for play.
The parity doesn’t live in the top tier NIL players…it lives in the mid and lower tier.
The Bluebloods were always getting the top players but NOW they have to pay ridiculous money to acquire them PLUS they are losing their former DEPTH of stars to other schiools because they can’t afford them if they sit on the bench…hence…the PARITY
A conference like the Big 12 will struggle because all the brands are equal mediocre brands so they beat each other up with none rising above the others…again…Parity
I don’t really think that NIL significantly changes who can be good.
On the contrary. I think it only limits who can be good further because, as a general rule, only the largest, best funded programs will be able to fund it sufficiently so as to make maximum use of it and get maximum benefit from it.
Michigan, a big, rich program with legions of rich, sports crazy fans willing to donate, of course can afford to shell out $10 million for a 5-star QB recruit.
A small, poor, cash strapped program with a far smaller, and far less interested and less wealthy fan base cannot.
UH is closer to the latter than the former.
And that’s why….
We are NOT seeing an increase in parity via NIL.
Far from it.
The Top Ten continues to consist of the largest, most familiar names, with the two most lucrative, big brand conferences (B1G and SEC), plus ND dominating (and nearly monopolizing) those ranks.
The NCAA has tried to promote parity, by limiting scholarships. Before scholarship limits, UT would offer scholarships to players to prevent them from going to other schools. NIL is just the next level.
While I think NIL is NOT a leveler, the rich will get richer or in the case of SMU, despite not having the blue blood pedigree, alumni who will spend anything to win. Less wealthy successful schools, like Alabama, may suffer We’ve seen that already. They’re no longer invincible.
No, the great leveler is the transfer portal. But, even that is to an extent, because the big school gets him first. Now, the question is, how are the NIL deals written? $10.5M. At once or paid over 4 years? That will matter. If I have a 5 star coming in, I offer him $10M, $1m 1st year, $2M 2nd year, $3M 3rd year, $4M 4th year. Want to transfer? You only get paid what you’ve earned. Negotiate your new NIL at your transfer school.
So…Michigan now gets a QB that they could of got for free in the pre NIL era.
Even if there were under the table deals, or a car, the NIL is now robbing Michigan alums/supporters of MILLIONS of dollars of their potential generational wealth.
I am guessing Quinn comes back and plays for the Whorns next year. And it wont be because they matched or upped the offer. Guy left Ohio State to go there. He WANTS to be a Longhorn.
Manning is the QB next year. If Ewers comes back he’ll be playing for a different team.
And honestly, he should come back if they’re serious about paying him $6 million (whoever the team is) I don’t think he’s a starting NFL QB. I’d take the money now.