Starters
Wendell Green 5-11 - heigh effort pg - kinda reckless shooter
Zep Jasper 6-1- lead defender, streaky offense, doesnt get starter minutes
Allen Flanigan 6-6 - tall and shifty, questionable shooter (Their version of tramon)
Jaylin Williams 6-8 - good at everything not great at anything
Johni Broome 6-10 - 235lbs great low post scorer and rim protector but does it with length/touch not power
K.D. Johnson 6-1 - high energy pg - kinda reckless shooter (starter minutes)
Dylan Cardwell 6-11 - 260lbs good per possession stats (rim protector, low post scorer)
Chris Moore 6-6 - glue guy (think their chaney)
Tre Donaldson 6-2 - 3andD shooter
Lior Berman 6-4 - 3andD shooter
Auburn general breakdown
suspect offense, decent defense. not 1 reliable shooter on the main rotation. their guards arent as bad as the shooting numbers indicate but their shot selection is TERRIBLE. broome is a decent low post scorer. their defense is good from high effort and good rim protections not from being disciplined
im going to assumer shead plays, and put sasser at 20% chance of playing
The Jwan Factor- this is going to be the deciding factor IMO, broome is 6’10 but is kinda soft and not a low post fighter. if we let him get in position around the rim he will be scoring and rebounding on us all night… but jwan is tougher and can force and body him outside the post most of the game if he can bring it. he (And Chaney) have to make broome uncomfortable all night…Auburn is also not a particularly good rebounding team but they have size, this matchup (broome vs jwan) likely defines the rebounding numbers
Their D: This is where potentially not playing with sasser is the biggest factor… broome is an elite shot blocker and the core to their defense. he block or alters most shots at the rim (and the back up is almost as good, so its not a “get him in foul trouble” thing either)… with the lack of organization and shorter guards, there will be tons of good looks from 3 that sasser could have taken advantage off… but we arent the best shooting team without sasser… the “feed the post” offense is at a disadvantage vs auburn… especially when they know broome doesn’t have to leave the post to defend the jwan. we are going to need, shead, mark, sharp and jarace 3s
Our D vs them - our D is built to shut down teams like auburn (especially at full strength) likely even without full strength… their guards are reckless, we can force them into bad shots. they will make some but not enough to score much. we can probably force a ton of bad turnovers aswell. broome will likely also struggle with our post traps and he isnt a particularly great passer either … sharp will be the weak spot if sasser can’t play, but i don’t think it will be game defining
They will have home court advantage - This is an away game … and Auburn is a team that feeds off the crowd
Depth - we might be thin on available guards incase of foul trouble. that might force us into zone for stretches if we lack numbers
game thoughts: i think we win without a doubt with sasser (at full strength), probably some heavy doubts about our ability to score without him. even beyond shooting, sasser got a ton of our transition points. but we have guys that can score beyond sasser they just don’t do it every game. this has to be one of those games
