That was the point I was trying to make and some guy has to chime in and attempt to shoot down the possibility we can win this game. Everything I said was true but there is always someone that has to take an opposite viewpoint just to argue, especially one of the downer crowd.
In conference we played 7 common teams with the same outcome, we both won. The differentiator was USF and UCF which isnt a big difference. OOC has zero meaning on the outcome of next Saturday. SOS has no meaning. It comes down to who plays with the most intensity and focus. We can win this game.
In Luke Fickell’s first year (2017) Cincy went 4-8. In 2018 they were 11-2. In 2019, Dana’s first year, UH went 4-8. In 2020 we had 6 games canceled on us including the infamous Baylor game. In 2021 we are 11-1. Cincy is 4 years into their rebuild and we are 2. Sorry but 2020 just wasn’t a season.
Here is my original post.
Cincy is beatable.(true) Alabama is beatable. (true) Anyone is beatable if they play a good team. (true) Yes they beat ND however they have basically played the same schedule as us with the same results 8-0. (true, we played 7 common opponents, the majority of our schedules) We have nothing to fear. (true)
We absolutely can beat Cincinnati at Nippert. I have never said otherwise. You keep trying to change the conversation to whether we can win (which we can), but that is not what i disagree with. You argue that we played essentially the same SOS as Cincy. That is incorrect by every objective metric, and you change the conversation, because you know your argument is incorrect.
There is a difference whether you are home or away in how a team is favored, the OOC schedule counts whether you want it to or not. The Bearcats played a harder schedule. That’s the truth.
Right now, the high Saturday is projected at 45 with 9% chance of rain. This is a favorable data point for the Coogs. Also nice that we got to acclimate with game against UCONN.
Check the original post I made. You sir, are the one that began inserting additional information. Look at your response which was meant to be a negative spin on what I had said which was nothing but the truth.
You are clearly one of the negative guys, I am not. At the first sign of distress you will be back on the negative train. Book it!
Except for Cincy at ND, neither team has played an excellent opponent. The line at -10 sounds right. We know our OL is the area of most concern. We now have a game behind us we won in cold weather. Lots has to go right for us to win, but it may. Cincy has the pressure, but not being in their program, we don’t know if they are just going about business as usual or getting a case of the yips. If we cover the spread in a game we don’t give away with mistakes, we should be very satisfied.
This game is a yardstick - is our record just a matter of playing weak teams or are we really a good team in a typical G5 conference? I’ll be happy if we play well and lose to a better team, but obviously crazy happy if we win. This is all gravy, folks, just choose your flavor.
One, it’s not a miracle that the best return man in the country returns a kick for a TD. Two, we would have had 30 seconds and a timeout to set up a field goal. Three, the game was tied so we would have went into overtime. No reason to exaggerate and take anything away from that win. Cincy took care of SMU more easily, but it wasn’t a miracle play that won the game for us.
I hope to see a game plan against Cincinnati using more up-tempo and misdirection to keep their defense in check. The last two games Tune wasn’t under any pressure from the defense, and he had all day to sit in the pocket to find receivers 20 to 30 yards downfield. That won’t be the case against Cincinnati. He’s had a great season, but everyone knows he has a tendency to throw into double and triple coverage when he’s under pressure. Let’s hope we can establish the running game and get the ball out of his hands quickly to slow down the blitz. Defensively, I think we’re good enough to win if our offense can move the ball and score some points.
Clayton Tune staying composed is a major key. Our RBs also need to be ready to put it all out there on the field. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see two-back sets.
. Ok just quick hello ! 