FWIW, I expected UH to win two conference games last year (though I was correct in naming only one of them). I admit I never saw the Rice debacle coming. UH will be in a different position in conference play this year.
The 2024 team was not assembled by Fritz. Some players will be able to adapt to the new system; others just won’t be a good fit. I know Fritz brought a few players with him from Tulane, but I don’t know much about them. I’m particularly worried about experience within the receiving corps. One mitigating factor will be that Fritz will rely less on the passing game than any recent head coach at UH.