Looking at some numbers I was shocked….i had talked about guys not seeing pitches or having a plan at bat….the swing whenever you feel like it is not good at any level but it multiplies the higher up in competition you go.
The walk rate was less than 8% and 27 out of 30 clubs….it was less the multiple injuries and more this IMO and experience.
And this is 100% on the hitting coaches and ultimately the manager.
Seeing more pitches gets into the other teams bullpen sooner as well as increases your personal chances of getting something to hit or get on base….Bregman was excellent in this regard and although I’m not a Tucker fan, the guy has a plan every at bat….makes the pitcher come to him.
If the Astros had even been mid pack it likely results in 4-5 more wins….at least.
Espada made a solid point about how pitchers change their approach when big bats are missing. Guys like Paredes and Yordan created traffic on the bases, which forced pitchers to be more careful with the hitters around them. Without that threat, it’s easier to exploit weaknesses—especially against a lineup that loves to chase.
The numbers back it up:
• 29th in chase rate (swings at pitches outside the zone)
• 28th in overall swing %
• Saw the second fewest pitches in the strike zone—pitchers knew we’d chase
• Faced the second fewest fastballs, third most sliders
• Dead last in pitches thrown in the zone and opposite field hitting
• 26th in walks, 1st in pull percentage
Bottom line: the Astros have become a case study in how advanced analytics can be used against you. Teams loaded up on sliders low and away, knowing our guys would try to yank everything to left. We used to be ahead of the curve with analytics—now we’re getting exposed by them. Sure, injuries played a role, but a lot of this falls on poor roster decisions and an outdated approach at the plate.
So if he knew it was happening, shouldn’t he have adjusted? A manager can’t just throw up his hands and wish he had different players in the lineup.
In Framber’s last start, the TV guys made am observation that he had rectified a mechanical issue that had affected his last several starts. He had been getting his center of gravity too far back, which kept him from getting on top of his breaking pitches, causing them to lose their bite.
With all of the technology and personnel deployed in the operation, how does something like that persist for multiple starts? As soon as he goes several innings where his best pitch isn’t working, they should be looking at comparative video to see if there’s something going on.
I think the whole organization has gotten complacent and unfocused.
Great information that is shocking……this falls on the hitting coaches and manager for allowing it….it is a mindset….its having a plan when you go up to bat.
The hitting coaches should have been fired already….
Luis Garcia had his second Tommy John on Wednesday. Good luck to him in rehab.
I’ve said before the best ability is availability and I think the Astros really need to look at their medical staff and how they’re approaching getting through a season. But who knows, maybe a lot of these guys have personal trainers or agents telling them to make business decisions.
As an important mover and shaker in the 281 I don’t like to excerpt myself too much in the public domain. A.I. and such.
But watching the Yankees getting steamrolled is perhaps the best ending on the weekend I could have imagined. Now if they can go back to the Bronx and have Judge strike out 10 straight times…that would be right and tight.