What's Your 4 Year Reasonable W/L Expectations?

Football
62

My Reasonable 4 year plan:

  1. The first year isn’t about wins and losses. It’s about incremental steps that over time will translate to Wins. Improvements in anyway possible. Offense, defense, players. We have seen improvement. But the progress is never a straight line up. The Kansas game was a big drop. But not a rebuild job.
  2. Year 2: we should have a better idea of what the identity of the team and improve on that through the transfer portal and recruiting. I project 6 to 7 wins depending strength of schedule
  3. Yr 3: I expect 7 to 9 wins.
  4. Yr 4: I expect to be 9 wins or better. We are in a power conference now. Any team with 9+ wins in a power conference is a good team.
63

I think the stair step improvement is reasonable. The only issue that could derail that improvement is not having a competitive NIL.

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64

Curious if you think #1 has occurred.

65

I have realistic expectations and live in reality; however, I can never bring myself to predict a Coog loss so I will continue with my poly predictions regardless of what I really think. You may have noticed that over the years, I have had a lot more patience with our coaches and teams than a majority of posters.

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66

Regarding #1, the season isn’t over.
I’ve seen incremental improvements, but not enough to not be worried right now.

I think the defense is decent (maybe even good). But the defense can’t play the whole game by themselves.

The offense is a mess. The TCU game showed what it can accomplish with right QB and the OLine showing up.

The big issues I see are:
• The offense is not coming prepared. This is on the coach(s). I don’t know if it’s s failure to motivate or the offensive system they’re running is too complex or not right for the players on hand.
• I’m seeing players seriously injured every week in college and pro football. Too many to field a complete team every week. Some games it feels like 40% of the starters are out and holes plugged with backups. What good does it do you to find a QB if you lose him to too many hurries and hits?

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67

The offense can’t execute. Period. Not able to.

The big issues doesn’t seem to be not coming prepared. There are limitations.

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68

Then coaches should know those limitations and put their players in a better position to succeed.

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69

Just remember, nothing is impossible to the ones who don’t have to do it.

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70

That is a nice thought but there are limitations to that as well.

71

Then coach should recruit better. I know you want to take the blame away from Fritz. This all lays at his feet.

72

I don’t see the Coog Nation waiting an additional 2 years (2026) to be bowl eligible. Of course I had no idea that Houston would be last in offense/scoring either. This landmark at a school that was often accused of running up the score.

73

Someone else on the board asked if a coach being paid $4.5 million a year should get a pass during year one. I wonder the same thing.

74

I’ve worked at a handful of big corporations (thankfully no longer). A hallmark of the poorly run was to take a proven manager, move them to an underperforming department, then fire them when they didn’t turn the department around fast enough. So, you’re down one great manager, and left with the poor performers still in that department. That cycle would continue until the employees in that department were replaced.

Fritz has proven he can turn teams around. Give him some time and let him get some of his own guys in the building. And I’m not talking about last minute portal bodies like we have now.

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75

I live for that, honestly.

I like to fix problems. And if I can’t, boot me. And I will go somewhere else for work.

76

All new coaches get a freebie sucky season.

Takes some pretty serious stuff (usually misconduct of some kind) to get fired after year one.

Year two is a different story.

77

Fixer was my role at a national home building company. I didn’t plan on that role it just happened. I would be transferred to an under-performing project (about 3 to 5 subdivisions).

I didn’t have to fire many people. One or two would quit and leave the company when it was announced I was taking over. It was usually superintendents. The sales people were always optimistic.

Then I was given the Austin, San Antonio, Central TX division to turn around.

I really loved those challenges and was grateful that I was given those opportunities.

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78

CWF recruited as well as possible coming in late, and I may add that the Lazy Coach had only seven.
He already has a better class coming in for next year.

79

Correct. But you have to remember. He put his eggs in the Donovan basket. I know for a fact McCloud would have been here if we would have kept waiting. We didn’t. And this is the bed Fritz made.

If we have an average offense, we are probably 4-3 right now.

80

I feel ya but you gotta admit The Dud left a dumpster fire…LAZY recruiting plus losing lot of top shelf talent to the Portal and this season had pain written all over it from the get go. It’s an uphill fight but I got faith he’ll get us back on track

81

Hindsight is always 20/20 and if Fritz would have known the QB room would have performed this inconsistent, I think he would have gone in a different direction. I can’t blame him for giving last year’s starter the starting role, especially since Chriss could not execute the passing game adequately. I think McCloud vs Chriss is a fair discussion. I personally wanted McCloud, but I think Fritz took the first QB that would commit.