Additional padding, and contingencies for the future.
If the Big 12 had expanded to 12 when they got TCU, they could have Pitt and Louisville right now (along with WVU â TCU gets left out in this scenario). If theyâd expanded with WVU they could have gotten Louisville along with Cincinnati. Cincinnati would also have years of Big 12 under its belt and be a better team than the one theyâre going to get, probably. Itâs good for us that they didnât, of course. This isnât 20/20 hindsight as I was saying at the time that would be a smart play.
That (losing teams to other conferences) is less a risk right now, but you never really know what comes down the pike. So to pick another exampleâŠ
It was my belief that the AAC needed to add two more basketball schools, like Saint Louis and VCU. The argument against was âwhy?â⊠but the answer is "Because if the conference gets raided it has more reserves.
Now theyâre down to three strong basketball programs, one of which may be departing. Iâm n0ot sure Saint Louis and VCU accept an invite. Iâm not sure they hold on to Wichita State.
Likewise, if the Big 12 had expanded to 12 when they got TCU, they could have had Pitt and Louisville. Or if after they could still have gotten Louisville.
The biggest blunder, in my opinion, is that the Pac-16 never happened. USC may be regretting that for a long time⊠unlike the above two I did not think that was a bad call because I, like they, believed the Pac-10/12 was in better shape than it was.
Iâm kind of biased, but I think itâs a good thing that the Big 12 invited four teams instead of two or three even though Iâm not convinced that we actually increased their TV value.
Anyway, I see more expansion blunders that involve conservatively sitting pat than I do inviting too many teams. I think a lot of these decisions end up being short-sighted. The only two overexpansion cases are mid-major/G5s: WAC-16 and Conference USAâs 14.